Free football picks and predictions are one of the most controversial issues of the online sports betting world. While some claim these free picks and predictions to provide a great boost to most any sports betting effort, others are adamant free picks are worth exactly what they cost: zilch.
At first sight, free NFL picks do indeed look kind of suspicious. First of all: why are they free? If they’re free, what guarantees me that the handicappers giving them out do indeed know what they’re about, and furthermore: can something that’s free be efficient at all?
What We’ll try to do in this article, is try to answer some of those questions.
You see, the problem is, that there are plenty of sports betting sites out there that give out free picks, based on castles in the sky, just to look good. On the other hand, it is also true that there are free picks that are indeed good and they do yield results for the bettors using them. The big dilemma is, how to tell one from the other?
First of all, let’s try to answer the question: how come free picks are free to start with? It is seldom in anyone’s interest to work for free, only to provide others with some value. However, free sports plays are often offered as a bonus, part of a larger package, as a reward for something you’ve signed up for. If you look at it like that, it makes perfect sense that they’re free. What’s the use of providing paid-for promotional material? With that in mind, expert handicappers offering this sort of bonus to their clients simply cannot afford to botch their predictions. How will that client trust them if all they can offer him are picks put together in a hurry just for the sake of having something free to give out. This is obviously not the way to go about it.
Always choose a site which you know upholds high standards in its paid-for services. If the free selections in sports come from such a site, you can rest assured their handicappers will do everything they can, not to ruin their reputation on a free-picks scheme.
Another way to see whether the guys offering you their free predictions are true professionals or not, is to check for the handicapping methods they use. If they’re secretive about it, they obviously have something to hide. If you know they’re using backwards odds handicapping, and they’re not “ashamed” to admit it, then maybe you can trust them.
As sports bettors, we all know the typical stats-based NFL handicapping, completed with what little personal knowledge we personally have about the game is just not enough when it comes to beating Las Vegas NFL lines.
Most not-so-professional
handicappers resort to the same kind of handicapping, where the do give their
best indeed, but their best is simply not enough.
Backwards odds handicapping takes
an entirely different approach, and starts right where amateur handicapping
ends: questioning the methods used and taking an in-depth look at why something
that should work, doesn’t.
Backwards odds handicapping is a
much more complex look at the whole picture, starting by analyzing the Las Vegas
odds and how they’re influenced by the factors that you’d normally have used for
your handicapping.
Another
thing to consider is the influence that the betting public has on the way the
odds are concocted. Only by paying a keen attention to all these factors can you
locate the hidden value, and only through the hidden value do you stand a chance
to bet the odds and eventually generate money on sports betting.
