Week 7 is shaping up to be an especially interesting week for sports bettors. With several of the top dogs facing limpers, the stage for at least a huge upset seems to be set. Upsets are always great, that is, if you can pick the game it’s going to happen in.
Let us take a closer look at the match-ups.
The New York Jets at the Cincinnati Bengals. This is one of those heavy fav vs lousy underdog games, but don’t go around hoping for an upset in this one. The Jets do not seem capable of pulling an upset here, this is why the Bengals are a -6 point favorites. Mind you, they’ll probably cover that spread too. Add to that the fact that they’re playing at home, and you’ve got yourself a prediction.
At 2-3 so far this season, the Vikings are certainly the underdogs in the match-up against the Cowboys. I wouldn’t count on a surprise if I were you in this game either, Dallas is a -9.5 point fav, but the expected margin is slightly over 10 points, so they’ll probably end up winning ATS too.
Dallas is a convincing 5-1 so far, I don’t see how an upset could occur here either, but then again…
If you were looking for the mother of all betting dilemmas, congrats: you’ve just found it. New England (6-0) against Miami (0-6) should be a no-brainer. Well, it should be, if it weren’t for the -17 spread favoring the Pats. This way, it becomes problematic. Miami is a home underdog in this game by definition, and New England is a road favorite, the question is: can the Pats do it ATS? There are not enough historical games such as this one to lead an avid handicapper to any kind of conclusion, and given the fact that these guys may not necessarily set the beating of the spread as their primary goal, there might be some potential in it.
The Baltimore Ravens will face the Bills in Buffalo. Don’t tell anyone, this might be the game you were looking for. Again, we have a road fav, ( the -3 point Ravens) going up against a home underdog ( the 1-4 Bills). The crowd will love the Ravens in this one, (after all, they’re 4-2) and that might just give birth to some good value on the other side.
The Bills look much weaker if you’re only considering their results so far, but also take a look at the teams both these franchises have played so far. There are several historical examples of such games, and those favor the Bills. Officially, Ravens are -3 favs and set to cover the spread at a 4.4 expected margin.
Pittsburg at Denver may again serve up some much sought-after value for bettors. Pittsburg is the 3.5 favorite, and the do play on the road. The cold may favor them against some southern team, but in this case that advantage is non-existent because of the fact that the Broncos are used to the cold too.
Look for the line moving. If it edges in favor of the Steelers, you might catch some value on this one.
The Saint will host the Falcons in New Orleans as the 9 point favorites. Not much value in this one, apparently, however, if the spread moves just a tad in the Falcons’ favor, I’d certainly keep an eye on it.
Another more or less interesting confrontation will be between the Bears and the Eagles in Philly. With the Eagles a 5 point favorite, this one looks like a wrap though. Even ATS.
